Watson Named Starter Despite Long Odds

The Cleveland Browns have named Deshaun Watson their starting quarterback for the 2026 season opener, a decision announced Monday by head coach Todd Monken. The move ends a prolonged competition with rookie Shedeur Sanders that stretched through the offseason, training camp, and the preseason.

Monken said he evaluated the full body of work over that span before choosing Watson. "I took in the full body of work over the course of the offseason to training camp to the games, the joint practice, and ultimately felt like to start the season on the road, Deshaun gave us the best chance to move the ball and score points," he said. "I felt that way going into the last game, but wasn't sure. And after we talked as a staff and we re-looked at everything, we're going to go that direction."

Few expected Watson to reclaim the starting job after a turbulent stretch in Cleveland. The 10-year veteran ruptured his right Achilles tendon in a Week 7 game in 2024, an injury that required two surgeries and sidelined him for all of last season. That followed an 11-game suspension in 2022 for alleged sexual misconduct and a season-ending shoulder injury in 2023. Since arriving in 2022, Watson has started just 19 games, posting a 9-10 record with 19 touchdown passes, 12 interceptions, and an 80.7 passer rating.

Owner Jimmy Haslam previously described the trade that sent three first-round picks to Houston as "a big swing and a miss."

The Financial Trap

Watson's contract — a five-year, $230 million fully guaranteed deal signed in 2022 — has been restructured multiple times to manage salary-cap implications. In March, the Browns converted nearly all of Watson's $46 million salary into bonus money, creating close to $36 million in cap space without reducing what he collects. According to Over the Cap, Watson carries a $40.96 million cap charge and a $46 million cash payout for 2026, with a remaining base salary of $1.3 million.

That $46 million is owed regardless of whether Watson starts, serves as backup, or is inactive. The Browns have no realistic route to moving on from him before this final season of his fully guaranteed contract; benching him and continuing to pay him remains their most practical option if the decision goes south.

A contractual "poison pill" included in a December 2024 restructure all but guarantees Watson's departure after the season. As detailed by former NFL agent Joel Corry, two voiding years in 2027 and 2028 were converted into real contract years with minimum salaries, and Watson has a base salary of $200 million in 2029 that becomes fully guaranteed if he is on the roster by the third day of the 2027 league year. The Browns must cut him before March 13, 2027 to avoid that trigger.

By March of next year, the Browns will have paid Watson the full $230 million. Releasing him would result in an $86.2 million dead cap hit — the second-largest in NFL history, behind only the $99.2 million the Dolphins absorbed when they released Tua Tagovailoa. A post-June 1 release would split that between $34.7 million in 2027 and $51.5 million in 2028. The contract's cap ramifications extend through 2030. The Browns could also follow the path the Houston Texans took in 2021, keeping Watson on the roster and paying him without playing.

Sanders and the Long Game

The decision leaves Shedeur Sanders, who earned a Pro Bowl nod as a rookie, as the backup. Analysts have suggested the Browns may look to draft a new quarterback in 2027, and the team has emphasized to Sanders that they are playing "the long game" with his development.

Sanders started the final seven games of his rookie season, going 3-4 with seven touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Browns quarterbacks coach Mike Bajakian praised his offseason progress: "He's done a great job of defining his footwork, playing with a base, learning the offense, working his butt off to really master his craft."

Haslam noted Sanders' dedication, saying, "He's been in Cleveland most of the winter, and I think that says a lot for his dedication to wanting to be an NFL quarterback."

Monken said Sanders has come to understand the long game, and the quarterback split first-team reps throughout the offseason. In the preseason, Sanders completed 9 of 11 passes for 74 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the first half against Buffalo, and was 6 of 11 for 79 yards with an interception against the Bears. Watson struggled in the same Buffalo game, completing 5 of 12 passes for 36 yards with an interception against backup defenders, leading to boos from the home crowd.

Monken insisted that fan sentiment and Watson's postgame comments played no role in his decision: "Absolutely not. Zero. There was nothing to do with that."

Watson, who called the boos "personal" and "disrespectful," opened his Monday press conference with an apology. "I thought I was going to get a little different response. But I think my emotions got the best of me," he said, adding that he acknowledged the organization's investment and that things haven't gone in the right direction, and that he needed to earn back respect and take full responsibility.

Watson has expressed love for Cleveland and hasn't ruled out remaining beyond 2026, noting he and his wife have a house on the east side. But the contract's structure makes that hard to envision.

What's Next

The Browns open the season Sept. 13 at Jacksonville, where Watson has a 7-1 career record. His last win with Cleveland was an 18-13 victory over the Jaguars on Sept. 15, 2024. After Jacksonville, the Browns travel to Tampa Bay on Sept. 20 to face former quarterback Baker Mayfield, then host Carolina on Sept. 27. Watson and Sanders will not play in the final preseason game against the Patriots, with Dillon Gabriel and Taylen Green set to get snaps.

As the season unfolds, the Browns face a difficult reality: Watson's guaranteed money and the poison pill make his departure after 2026 nearly inevitable, no matter how he performs. As one analysis put it, if Watson plays well, he has no future with the team; if he doesn't, he has no future either.