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Russian Federation Council Vice Speaker Konstantin Kosachev said in an interview with TASS that US President Donald Trump has made progress on the domestic track that he can present to voters in the November midterm congressional elections. However, Kosachev also warned that if the Republican Party loses control of Congress, Trump could face a difficult final two years in office.

Coverage Comparison

Two TASS articles, both published July 4, covered Kosachev's remarks, each focusing on a different aspect. The first article highlighted Kosachev's positive assessment of Trump's domestic achievements, including the transfer of production facilities to the United States and higher energy exports. The second article emphasized the potential challenges for Trump if Republicans lose their majority in the House of Representatives.

The two reports, while drawing on the same interview, present contrasting framings: one leans toward optimism regarding Trump's domestic record, the other toward the difficulties of a possible electoral defeat.

Key Claims

Kosachev told TASS that the Trump administration has made progress on the domestic track, citing the relocation of a substantial number of industries to the US, creation of new jobs, and the country's new leadership in energy supplies. He noted that American companies are earning "super profits" in Europe by replacing Russian gas with more expensive liquefied American gas.

He suggested that Trump "absolutely does not lose" on some matters and predicted further positive developments before the elections, such as lower gasoline and food prices, and more favorable health insurance terms. Kosachev said he does not rule out "unexpected plots" in the remaining months.

When asked about the potential impact of the war in Iran on the elections, Kosachev acknowledged that "everything did not go exactly as Mr. Trump saw it." He said most analysts predict a significant loss of Republican positions in both chambers, with the most likely outcome being the loss of the party's majority in the House of Representatives. In the Senate, the picture is less predictable, but if Republicans lose majorities in both chambers, it would be "a very difficult story for President Trump with the remaining two years as president." Kosachev added that Trump is not interested in such an outcome and "will do his best to find a way out of this situation."

Background

Midterm elections to the US Congress are scheduled for November 3. The entire composition of the House of Representatives (435 members) and a third of the Senate (33 seats) will be up for election. Currently, Republicans control both chambers.