Lead

Russia's metal consumption fell by 15% in the first quarter of 2026 compared with the same period last year, according to Severstal, one of the country's largest steel producers. The company's head, Alexander Shevelev, described the industry situation as "challenging," with domestic demand continuing to weaken.

The decline continues a broader trend. Data presented by the Russian Steel Association, an industry body, showed that metal consumption in Russia dropped by 13.7% in 2025 compared with 2024, with particularly sharp falls in the automotive, engineering, and energy sectors.

Coverage Comparison

The reports, both from the Russian state news agency TASS, present consistent data on the state of the industry. The first article, dated April 21, focuses on Severstal's first-quarter results and Shevelev's comments about the market. The second, from April 20, draws on a presentation by Alexey Sentyurin, executive director of the Russian Steel Association, covering annual figures for 2025.

Both sources attribute the decline to reduced demand, though the Severstal report also notes a rise in export prices, which it links to lower Chinese export shipments and increased freight rates in some regions due to the Middle East conflict.

Key Claims

According to TASS's report of Severstal's announcement:

  • Metal consumption in Russia fell by 15% year-on-year in January–March 2026.
  • The average price of hot-rolled sheet in Russia decreased by 7% in the first quarter.
  • Export prices showed some growth in the quarter, attributed to reduced export shipments from China and higher freight rates in some regions.
  • Severstal's capacity utilization remained close to 100%, with steel output of 2.72 million tons in Q1.
  • Sales of steel products declined by 1% year-on-year to 2.63 million tons.
From the Russian Steel Association presentation:
  • Metal consumption in Russia decreased by 13.7% in 2025 compared with 2024.
  • The sharpest declines in 2025 were in the automotive (37%), energy (30.6%), and engineering (29.4%) sectors. Construction and metal trading saw an 8.5% decline.
  • A full recovery of the sector is not expected before 2027, according to Severstal.

Perspectives

Severstal's view: The company emphasizes that despite the domestic demand slump, its operations remain at near-full capacity. Management highlights that export markets provided some relief, with price growth driven by external factors, but offers no immediate forecast for domestic recovery.

Industry association's view: The Russian Steel Association's data frames the decline as sector-wide, with manufacturing and energy-related demand hit hardest. The association's presentation implies structural weaknesses in key consuming industries, though it does not attribute causes explicitly.

Global context: The reported rise in export prices, linked to reduced Chinese shipments, suggests that Russian producers may benefit from international market dynamics even as domestic demand weakens. However, this is based solely on Severstal's assessment and not independently verified.

As of now, there is no independent confirmation of the figures beyond the company's and the association's statements, as reported by TASS. The outlook for 2026 remains uncertain, with the industry bracing for a prolonged period of subdued demand.