Russia to export 60 mln tonnes of grain this season — Agriculture Minister

Lead

Russian Agriculture Minister Oksana Lut has announced that the country expects to export 60 million tonnes of grain during the current agricultural season, which runs from July 1, 2025 to June 30, 2026. The forecast, delivered at a meeting of the ministry’s board and later at the All-Russian Grain Forum, includes 50 million tonnes of wheat, according to TASS. The projected volume matches the previous season’s exports, which amounted to around 53 million tonnes, including 44 million tonnes of wheat.

Coverage Comparison

The reporting from TASS — the only news organisation whose coverage of this story is available — presents multiple forecasts from different official sources. Agriculture Minister Oksana Lut stated that grain exports would total 60 million tonnes, with wheat making up 50 million tonnes of that figure. This estimate was repeated at the All-Russian Grain Forum, where Lut also noted that the 2025 grain harvest reached 144.6 million tonnes, an 11% increase from 2024.

Separately, Igor Pavensky, head of the expert committee at the Union of Grain Exporters and Producers, presented a forecast at the same forum suggesting that exports of grains and legumes could reach 61.8 million metric tonnes, which would be the third-largest volume in Russia’s history after the 2022-2023 and 2023-2024 seasons. According to that presentation, wheat exports by the end of the season are forecast at about 46.5 million metric tonnes.

Lut acknowledged the higher figure, saying it is “also possible, depending on liquidity and demand,” but noted that current market conditions are “not very favorable.” The minister also stated that the 2025 harvest would allow Russia to remain the world’s leading wheat exporter this season.

Key Claims

• Russia will export 50 million tonnes of wheat in the current agricultural season (July 1, 2025 – June 30, 2026), as announced by Agriculture Minister Oksana Lut.
• The total volume of grain exports will amount to 60 million tonnes, including 50 million tonnes of wheat, according to the minister.
• Grain exports from Russia amounted to around 53 million tonnes in the previous agricultural season (2024-2025), including 44 million tonnes of wheat.
• Russia’s exports of grains and legumes are forecast at 61.8 million metric tonnes, which would be the third-largest volume on record, according to a presentation by Igor Pavensky of the Union of Grain Exporters and Producers.
• Wheat exports by the end of the season are forecast at about 46.5 million metric tonnes, according to the same presentation.
• The 2025 grain harvest totaled 144.6 million tonnes, up 11% from 2024, Lut stated.
• Russia will remain the world’s leading wheat exporter this season, the minister said.
• Russia has resumed wheat supplies to Madagascar, according to the Agroexport Federal Center. In the first five months of 2026, Russia exported more than 30,000 tonnes of wheat to Madagascar, worth over $7 million.
• Deputy Agriculture Minister Maxim Borovoy said that Russia’s grain exports are expected to increase to 80 million tonnes by 2030, with port infrastructure expansion seen as key to achieving that goal.