New Tender Issued

Pakistan LNG Limited (PLL), the state-run buyer, has issued a fresh tender to procure one spot cargo of liquefied natural gas for delivery between September 4 and 8. The tender, announced on August 30, calls for a single cargo of 140,000 cubic meters (with a tolerance of plus or minus 5%) to be delivered on a Delivered Ex-Ship (DES) basis at Port Qasim, Karachi. Bids are due by September 1, with technical bids opened at 2:30pm and commercial offers from technically compliant bidders at 3:30pm, followed by the award on the same day, according to the tender notice published on PLL's website and as reported by The Nation. The successful bidder will be required to provide an unconditional performance guarantee equivalent to 10 percent of the total contract value. PLL will select the lowest evaluated price in US dollars per million British thermal units (MMBtu) among technically compliant bidders, according to the tender terms.

Power Generation Impact

The tender was issued against a backdrop of reduced power generation. Pakistan's Power Division reported that electricity generation was disrupted overnight due to unavailability of regasified liquefied natural gas (RLNG), with around 3,600 MW of generation capacity affected, as stated by a Power Division spokesperson and cited by BOL News. The Power Division also said output from the Mangla hydropower complex was down by roughly 195 MW. The division said temporary nighttime load management would ease once delayed RLNG cargoes arrive and gas-fired plants receive fuel. The shortfall occurred as the country waited for delayed cargoes to reach port.

Spot Market Return After August Pause

The new tender marks a return to the spot market after a month with no spot purchases. According to the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA), no LNG was imported from the spot market during August, the lowest monthly procurement since the country began LNG imports, with only a single cargo from Qatar under the long-term contract, an analysis reported by BOL in News. That pause allowed OGRA to cut RLNG prices for consumers of Sui Southern Gas Company by about 27.7 percent, or $6.95 per MMBtu, to $18.13 per MMBtu for August, a reversal of July increases, BOL reported. The July increase, attributed to expensive spot purchases, had driven RLNG-based power generation costs above Rs 47 per unit, as reported by The Nation.

Background: Supply Disruptions and Procurement

The recent reliance on the spot market follows supply disruptions from Middle East conflict. QatarEnergy had declared force majeure on March 4 after an attack on its Ras Laffan LNG production complex, linked to heightened tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, as reported by BOL. The US-Israel-Iran conflict has disrupted Qatari LNG supplies, forcing Pakistan to buy spot cargoes, reported The Nation. In July alone, PLL procured five cargoes for supply windows, some of the most expensive ever purchased, one of which at $21.88 per MMBtu from TotalEnergies for delivery on July 27-28, as reported by The Nation and BOL. Pakistan received a total of 13 (or per BOL, 15 LNG cargoes between March and July, seven spot) with The Nation reporting six long-term and seven spot since the start of the war, while BOL reported 15 cargoes between March and July (seven spot) compared with 56 long-term Qatari cargoes in the same period a year earlier, according to OGRA data and AKD Securities. During the July spot purchase, Pakistan had imported 12 cargoes total: seven spot and five from QatarEnergy under the long-term agreement, BOL reported.

The impact on the gas-fired power sector is visible in June output: LNG-fired plants produced 1,480 GWh in June, about 11% of Pakistan's total generation, according to BOL. The Power Division expects power generation to recover as delayed cargoes arrive.