Talks yield no progress

A meeting between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and US Middle East envoy Jared Kushner on Monday ended without a breakthrough in the stalled Gaza ceasefire deal, according to an Israeli official who said Netanyahu made clear the military would not withdraw and would continue operations in Gaza.

The three-hour meeting, which also included Tony Blair and Nickolay Mladenov of Trump's Board of Peace, came after Netanyahu had forcefully rejected the US-backed 15-point roadmap a week earlier. The Israeli leader reiterated his position that there can be no progress on the ceasefire or an Israeli withdrawal until Hamas disarms first, and he requested that a US general supervise the group's handover of weapons.

A statement from Netanyahu's office described the meeting as "deep and constructive" and said it was agreed to establish two working groups on disarmament and demilitarisation. A Board of Peace official said the talks were "lengthy, in depth and very productive" and that the Israelis were going to "give this a chance."

Disarmament vs. withdrawal

The core disagreement centers on sequencing. Netanyahu insists on Hamas's disarmament before any Israeli withdrawal or reconstruction, while Hamas, which has said it agreed to the roadmap, demands that Israel first halt its attacks and withdraw to the "yellow line" dividing the territory—the 60% of Gaza that Israeli troops currently occupy.

On Sunday, Kushner met Hamas's political chief Khalil al-Hayya in Egypt, where Hamas insisted on Israel's withdrawal. A Hamas official said the group was committed and was waiting for mediators to start the 14-day negotiation period to establish a timetable.

According to reports, the US agreed that Israel could continue striking Gaza, which would apparently contradict Trump's earlier statement that it should not. Netanyahu's office said the meeting was "deep and constructive," but an Israeli official acknowledged the impasse.

Regional and domestic pressures

Analysts note that Trump has prioritized forcing progress in Gaza, with the US president likely dangling his endorsement in the upcoming Israeli election as an incentive for Netanyahu. However, opinion polls cited by Al Jazeera show that a majority of Israelis are split between opposing a peace deal and wanting to return, with only 17% favoring the status quo.

The meeting's timing was complicated by Netanyahu's political situation, with his electoral base skeptical of concessions. At the same time, regional powers including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates issued a joint statement condemning Israel's rejection, saying that Israel now bears responsibility for obstructing the peace efforts.

Wider regional context

Separately, the Jerusalem Post's commentary piece notes that the stalled Gaza talks are not the only regional issue facing the Trump administration. It references the June 2025 war against Iran's nuclear facilities and the absence of a plan to use early gains, as well as ongoing concerns about Hezbollah's influence in Lebanon and ambitions in Syria. The piece also argues that Israel is the only actor capable of enforcing any demilitarization agreement but is being sidelined.

Perspectives

Israeli government

Israel insists that any progress in the Gaza ceasefire depends on full disarmament of Hamas, and that Israel will maintain security control. The prime minister's office reported a constructive meeting with the Board of Peace.

Hamas

Hamas has agreed to the roadmap, including disarmament, but insists on Israel's withdrawal first. It urges mediators to compel Israel to sign on and to start the 14-day negotiation period.

Regional Arab states

Saudi Arabia and the UAE issued a joint statement saying that "Israel now bears responsibility for obstructing the efforts to bring peace in Gaza" and called for immediate measures.

US administration

US envoy Kushner described the meeting as "good meeting" but downplayed the Israeli rejection. Trump has dispatched his Board of Peace to pressure both sides, and reports indicate he is frustrated with Netanyahu's stance, with some analysts criticizing his approach of subcontracting diplomacy.