India-Mexico Trade Pact Nears Finalization, Signing Expected in November

India and Mexico are on the verge of finalizing the Terms of Reference (ToR) for a bilateral trade pact, with sources indicating that the agreement is likely to be signed in November. Government sources told CNBC TV18 that the ToR are "almost finalised" and that meetings are being scheduled between the two sides.

The development comes as both countries seek to address trade tensions arising from Mexico's recent tariff measures. The pact, which has been in the works since last year, aims to stabilize bilateral relations and prevent sudden price fluctuations, according to NewsBytes.

Trade Background and Tariff Dispute

India-Mexico merchandise trade totaled $8.74 billion in 2024 (as per DGCI&S), with exports at $5.73 billion and imports at $3.01 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of $2.72 billion for India. Key Indian exports included light vehicles ($0.88 billion), motorcycles ($0.39 billion), base metals ($0.76 billion), auto parts ($0.74 billion), machinery ($0.46 billion), textiles ($0.41 billion), chemicals ($0.43 billion), and pharmaceuticals ($0.38 billion). Imports from Mexico were led by crude petroleum oils ($1.7 billion), smartphones ($0.27 billion), and gold ($0.17 billion).

Tensions arose in September 2025 when Mexico proposed raising most-favored-nation (MFN) import tariffs from 5% to 50% on 1,455 tariff lines, effective January 1, 2026, targeting non-FTA partners. The measure, which Mexico cited as support for local production and correction of trade imbalances, was also aimed at curbing Chinese imports, as reported by CNBC TV18.

India's Commerce Ministry initially estimated that the tariff increase could impact around $3.8 billion worth of Indian exports, a figure later revised to approximately $2 billion in sectors such as automobiles, auto parts, textiles, iron and steel, plastics, leather, and footwear.

Diplomatic Engagement and Negotiations

The Embassy of India raised immediate concerns with Mexico's Ministry of Economy on September 30, 2025. Mexico clarified that the measure was not directed against India and reaffirmed its commitment to the bilateral relationship.

After consultations, Mexico deferred the tariff implementation to August 2026, following concerns from non-FTA partners and industry. On December 2, 2025, both sides agreed to pursue a trade agreement to mitigate the impact promptly, with technical discussions initiated from December 12, 2025 onwards.

On December 15, 2025, India's Commerce Ministry said that a WTO-compatible Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA) is being aimed at with Mexico to avert high tariffs for Indian exporters. The Ministry noted that a Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) or Free Trade Agreement (FTA) would take more time, and that India had already held meetings at the level of trade officials on both sides. A PTA, unlike an FTA or BTA, covers select items.

The Commerce Secretary is scheduled to visit Latin America from August 24 to 28 in a bid to diversify trade, according to CNBC TV18.