US-Saudi Nuclear Deal Faces Uncertain Path Amid New Conditions
The United States and Saudi Arabia have reached a nuclear cooperation agreement to establish a civilian nuclear programme in the kingdom, a move that could allow Riyadh to harness nuclear power for electricity generation, boost exports of its natural resources, and support its growing fleet of energy-hungry data centres. However, the deal's future is now clouded by a last-minute condition from US President Donald Trump, who announced on social media that Saudi Arabia must first normalise relations with Israel.
The Deal and Its Details
The nuclear cooperation agreement is expected to last 30 years, transferring US technology and expertise to Saudi Arabia to help meet the kingdom's growing energy needs. While the full text has not been released, media reports have indicated that one provision could potentially see US companies build a uranium enrichment facility in the kingdom. Yet, Trump's social media post suggested that Saudi-based enrichment might be off the table, as he wrote that the deal would involve "no enrichment of material."
Trump also said the agreement "pertains only to nonmilitary use such as the ones that Iran and UAE (and others) already have." Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy welcomed the agreement, stating it bolsters "efforts to diversify energy sources, advance cutting-edge technologies, and expand opportunities for cooperation and investment in ways that serve the mutual interests of the two friendly countries."
Saudi Arabia's Stance on Normalisation
Saudi Arabia has long insisted it will not establish formal relations with Israel until there is a clear path for Palestinian statehood, which Israel's current government staunchly opposes. Riyadh has yet to respond to Trump's latest statement tying the nuclear deal to normalisation with Israel.
Reactions in Israel
The reported agreement sparked swift criticism from Israeli opposition figures. Yair Golan, head of the Democrats, wrote on X/Twitter that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu "succeeded in doing the impossible" by losing the opportunity for normalisation with Saudi Arabia while enabling it to gain nuclear capabilities. Opposition leader Yair Lapid called the reported agreement "a total failure" on Netanyahu's part, arguing that preventing any Middle Eastern country from acquiring an indigenous nuclear capability is among an Israeli prime minister's foremost responsibilities. Lapid noted that when he and Naftali Bennett were in office, they were prepared to confront Washington—even publicly and in Congress—to block any agreement permitting Saudi uranium enrichment.
However, less than a day after those criticisms, Trump undercut the premise of the opposition's attacks by declaring that the deal would require Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords and would involve no enrichment of material. That announcement appeared to shift the political ground, as the agreement's terms now look different from what the initial reports suggested.
What's Next
The deal must first be submitted to the US Congress for review. However, the new condition tying the agreement to normalisation with Israel adds another layer of complexity, as Saudi Arabia's position on Palestinian statehood remains at odds with the current Israeli government's stance. The coming weeks will reveal whether Riyadh is willing to meet Trump's demand or whether the nuclear agreement will remain in limbo.