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Guardian Essential poll: voters reject key One Nation policies as support slips

A Guardian Essential poll indicates One Nation's primary vote has fallen two points to 26%, with Australians rejecting key policies such as shutting down SBS and ending multiculturalism. Labor has bounced back slightly, though politicians caution against overreading the polls.

By Tertius News AI Desk 2 outlets · 2 articles Version 1 Coverage Jun 28 – Jul 1, 2026 Published Aug 15

Lead

A Guardian Essential poll has found Australians rejecting several of One Nation's core policies, while the party's primary support has slipped in the latest monthly survey. The poll, conducted last week after party leader Pauline Hanson's press club speech, recorded One Nation at 26% – down two points from 28% last month – amid broader questions about Hanson's ties to mining billionaire Gina Rinehart and the party's capacity to govern.

Labor's primary vote ticked up one point to 30%, while the Coalition held at 23%. Both movements lie within the poll's margin of error, but several other published surveys this week – including Newspoll, Redbridge and Roy Morgan – also showed a slight increase for Labor and a slight decrease for One Nation.

Coverage comparison

Two outlets – ABC Australia and The Guardian World – covered the latest polling, each with a distinct emphasis. ABC focused on Labor's response to the numbers, quoting Labor and Coalition figures on the significance of the shift. The Guardian's report highlighted the voter rejection of One Nation's proposals, framing it as a consequence of recent media scrutiny of the party.

Key claims

Support for One Nation has dropped, according to opinion polls, and Labor's primary vote has bounced back ahead of the party, ABC reported. Tanya Plibersek called the improvement a "modest improvement" on the television rounds this morning. Shadow Foreign Affairs Minister Ted O'Brien said any politician would be a fool not to look at the polls, but a bigger fool to read too much into them. Health Minister Mark Butler credited the improved numbers to people focusing on what they're getting in the budget.

The Guardian's analysis of the Essential poll showed One Nation's primary vote falling two points to 26%. It reported that voters rejected key One Nation policy ideas: only 15% supported Hanson's calls to privatise the ABC, 11% agreed with shutting down SBS, and 20% backed ending multiculturalism. In addition, just 18% supported withdrawing from the United Nations, and 18% supported reviewing workplace laws to give employers more power. The poll also found 52% of respondents were either definitely or at least considering voting for One Nation at the next election, even as voters raised concerns about Hanson's closeness to Gina Rinehart and the party's skills to run the country.

Perspectives

Labor's modest improvement

Tanya Plibersek welcomed the polls as a modest improvement for Labor, while acknowledging Australians are still feeling pressure. She said the party is determined to make changes that make a difference for them.

Coalition caution on polls

Ted O'Brien cautioned against reading too much into the polls, pointing to the pressure people are feeling and noting post-budget fluctuation is normal. Mark Butler echoed this, attributing the shift to voters focusing on budget changes after the usual media frenzy.

How each outlet told it

ABC Australia as of Jun 28, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC

Framing: Neutral — Objective

Facts Included:

Support for One Nation has dropped according to opinion polls
Labor's primary vote has bounced back ahead of One Nation
Tanya Plibersek calls the improvement in polls a 'modest improvement'
Ted O'Brien says politicians would be fools to read too much into polls
Mark Butler credits the improvement in polls to people focusing on budget changes

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The Guardian — World as of Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC

Framing: Critical of One Nation — Analytical

Facts Included:

One Nation's primary vote dropping two points to 26%
Voters rejecting One Nation's key policies such as shutting down SBS and ending multiculturalism
Concerns over Pauline Hanson's closeness to Gina Rinehart
Australians' views on abortion and the renewables transition
52% of respondents open to voting for One Nation

Read the source article →

What was claimed, and who backed it

Each row is one claim, attributed to the outlet whose wording states it most clearly. Confidence rates how directly the source text states the claim — explicit and unhedged rates high; hedged, pieced-together, or internally inconsistent statements rate lower. It does not measure whether the claim is true. Status counts the distinct outlets we found asserting it — so a single-source claim can still show high confidence, and a multi-source claim can show medium. Every one of those outlets is named beside the status, so you can check the count against the list. For claims extracted before we began storing that list, the row says so: it names the outlet the claim is quoted from and states that we have not recorded which outlets backed it. Outlets wrote at different times, so a figure that evolves — a casualty count, for example — can legitimately differ between rows; check the "as of" time next to each claim's source.

Claim	Confidence	Status
ClaimSupport for One Nation has dropped according to opinion polls. Labor's primary vote has bounced back ahead of One Nation.	ConfidenceHigh	StatusMulti-source quoted from ABC Australia as of Jun 28, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC the outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimOne Nation's primary vote has dropped two points to 26%.	ConfidenceHigh	StatusSingle-source via The Guardian — World as of Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC
ClaimTanya Plibersek calls the improvement in polls a 'modest improvement'.	ConfidenceHigh	StatusSingle-source via ABC Australia as of Jun 28, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC
ClaimTed O'Brien says politicians would be fools to read too much into polls.	ConfidenceHigh	StatusSingle-source via ABC Australia as of Jun 28, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC
ClaimMark Butler credits the improvement in polls to people focusing on budget changes.	ConfidenceHigh	StatusSingle-source via ABC Australia as of Jun 28, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC
ClaimVoters have rejected One Nation's key policies, including shutting down SBS and ending multiculturalism.	ConfidenceHigh	StatusSingle-source via The Guardian — World as of Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC
Claim52% of respondents are open to voting for One Nation.	ConfidenceHigh	StatusSingle-source via The Guardian — World as of Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC
ClaimAustralians have concerns about Pauline Hanson's closeness to Gina Rinehart.	ConfidenceHigh	StatusSingle-source via The Guardian — World as of Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC

Transparency & Audit Trail

2 outlets · 2 articles consulted: ABC Australia, The Guardian — World 8 claims extracted Version 1 Written 2026-08-15