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Global military spending continues to rise as European and Asian expenditures surge
Global military spending rose to a record $2.88 trillion in 2025, marking the 11th consecutive year of increase, according to SIPRI. Europe and Asia saw sharp spending hikes, while US spending fell by 7.5% due to a halt in new Ukraine aid. Analysts warn of an arms race and trade-offs with social spending.
Global Military Spending Reaches Record $2.88 Trillion in 2025
Global military spending reached an estimated $2.88 trillion in 2025, a 2.9 percent increase in real terms from the previous year, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). The figure marks the 11th consecutive year of growth and the highest level ever recorded, as reported by multiple outlets including Al Jazeera, Deutsche Welle, and France 24.
The rise was driven primarily by sharp increases in Europe and Asia, while military expenditure in the Middle East remained nearly flat. The global military burden—spending as a share of world GDP—rose to 2.5 percent, the highest level since 2009, per SIPRI data cited by several sources.
Coverage Comparison
The story was covered extensively across international media, with most outlets relying on SIPRI's annual report released in late April 2026. ABC Australia framed the increase as part of a 10-year trend, noting a 41 percent rise since 2016. Al Jazeera provided a visual explainer breaking down spending by country and comparing military outlays with healthcare and education. Dawn, based in Pakistan, emphasized the Middle East's stable spending despite ongoing conflicts. Deutsche Welle and France 24 highlighted Europe's role as the main engine of growth, while the South China Morning Post focused on the Asia-Pacific region's fastest growth in 16 years. The Jerusalem Post, citing SIPRI, highlighted the record total and the US decline.
While all sources agreed on the headline figures, some differences emerged: Al Jazeera noted that global military spending in 2025 was lower than the 9.7 percent increase recorded in 2024, a point echoed by SCMP. Several outlets, including France 24 and Dawn, emphasized that the top three spenders—the US, China, and Russia—accounted for just over half of global spending, while others noted the top five's combined share.
Key Claims
Global military spending reached $2.88 trillion in 2025, up 2.9 percent from 2024, according to SIPRI data reported by multiple sources.
The US remained the largest spender at $954 billion, a decrease of 7.5 percent from 2024, attributed to the absence of new military aid for Ukraine, as reported by DW, France 24, and others.
China's spending rose 7.4 percent to $336 billion, marking its 31st consecutive year of increases, per SIPRI.
Russia's military spending increased 5.9 percent to $190 billion, equivalent to 7.5 percent of its GDP, according to SIPRI data cited by Dawn and others.
Germany's spending surged 24 percent to $114 billion, making it the world's fourth-largest spender and exceeding 2 percent of GDP for the first time since 1990, as reported by DW and others.
India's spending grew 8.9 percent to $92.1 billion, partly due to its conflict with Pakistan in May 2025, per SIPRI and reported by Dawn.
Military spending in Europe rose by 14 percent to $864 billion, driven by the war in Ukraine and reduced US engagement, as reported by DW, France 24, and others.
Asia and Oceania saw an 8.1 percent increase to $681 billion, the largest annual rise since 2009, according to SIPRI data cited by SCMP.
The Middle East saw only a 0.1 percent increase to $218 billion, with Israel's spending falling 4.9 percent to $48.3 billion, reflecting reduced conflict intensity after the January 2025 ceasefire, as reported by Dawn and the Jerusalem Post.
NATO's 29 European members spent a combined $559 billion, with 22 nations allocating at least 2 percent of GDP to defence, per SIPRI data cited by several outlets.
The US Congress approved over $1 trillion in military spending for 2026, potentially rising to $1.5 trillion in 2027, according to reports from DW and others.
Perspectives
Analysts: SIPRI researchers offered varied interpretations. Xiao Liang noted that “widespread increases in military spending, especially among middle-power countries, do not mean the world will be safer” and warned of potential trade-offs with social services and development aid. Lorenzo Scarazzato said “everything points to a world that feels less secure and is spending on its military to compensate for the global landscape.” Diego Lopes da Silva highlighted that US allies in Asia and Oceania are spending more due to “growing uncertainty over US support.”
Critics: The UN and IMF have raised concerns that increased military spending could fuel an arms race and lead to a “guns versus butter” trade-off, as reported by ABC Australia. UN Secretary-General António Guterres urged leaders to “choose people and planet over pain,” noting that global military spending in 2024 was 13 times more than all development aid.
Industry: Lockheed Martin CEO Jim Taiclet called 2025 “a year of unprecedented demand,” citing a record $194 billion backlog and 6 percent year-over-year sales growth, as reported by Al Jazeera.
Regional observations: Spain's spending jumped 50 percent to $40.2 billion, pushing it above 2 percent of GDP for the first time since 1994, per DW. Taiwan's spending rose 14 percent to $18.2 billion, the largest increase since at least 1988, according to SCMP. Turkey's spending grew 7.2 percent to $30 billion, driven by operations in Iraq, Syria, and Somalia, as reported by Dawn.
Trends and Outlook
SIPRI researchers noted that the growth in global military spending is likely to continue through 2026 and beyond, as many countries have long-term spending plans. The US decline is expected to be short-lived, with congress approving over $1 trillion for 2026. However, analysts emphasize that rising spending does not necessarily equate to greater security, and could have profound societal effects.
This article is based on reporting from AFP, Al Jazeera, ABC Australia, Dawn, Deutsche Welle, France 24, Jerusalem Post, SCMP, and others, all citing SIPRI's 2026 report.
Each row is one claim, attributed to the outlet whose wording states it most clearly. Confidence rates how directly the source text states the claim — explicit and unhedged rates high; hedged, pieced-together, or internally inconsistent statements rate lower. It does not measure whether the claim is true. Status counts the distinct outlets we found asserting it — so a single-source claim can still show high confidence, and a multi-source claim can show medium. Every one of those outlets is named beside the status, so you can check the count against the list. For claims extracted before we began storing that list, the row says so: it names the outlet the claim is quoted from and states that we have not recorded which outlets backed it. Outlets wrote at different times, so a figure that evolves — a casualty count, for example — can legitimately differ between rows; check the "as of" time next to each claim's source.
Claim
Confidence
Status
ClaimGlobal military spending reached $2.88 trillion in 2025, an increase of 2.9 percent from the previous year.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Al Jazeerathe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimGlobal military spending in 2025 marked the 11th consecutive year of growth.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimThe global military burden (military spending as a share of GDP) reached 2.5 percent in 2025, the highest level since 2009.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from RFI — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimThe top three military spenders in 2025 were the United States, China, and Russia, with a combined spending of $1.48 trillion, accounting for just over half of global military expenditure.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimThe five biggest military spenders in 2025 were the United States, China, Russia, Germany, and India, together accounting for 58 percent of world military spending.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Al Jazeerathe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimThe United States spent $954 billion on its military in 2025, a decrease of 7.5 percent from 2024.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Al Jazeerathe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimThe decline in US military spending in 2025 was primarily due to no new military financial aid for Ukraine being approved during the year.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimThe US Congress approved over $1 trillion in military spending for 2026, which could rise to $1.5 trillion in 2027 if President Trump's budget proposal passes.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimChina spent an estimated $336 billion on its military in 2025, an increase of 7.4 percent from 2024.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Al Jazeerathe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimChina has increased its military spending every year for 31 consecutive years.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Jerusalem Postthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimRussia spent $190 billion on its military in 2025, an increase of 5.9 percent, equivalent to 7.5 percent of its GDP.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimUkraine increased its military spending by 20 percent to $84.1 billion in 2025, equivalent to 40 percent of its GDP.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimGermany spent $114 billion on its military in 2025, an increase of 24 percent, making it the world's fourth-largest military spender.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimGermany's military spending exceeded 2 percent of GDP for the first time since 1990, reaching 2.3 percent in 2025.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Deutsche Wellethe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimIndia spent $92.1 billion on its military in 2025, an increase of 8.9 percent, making it the world's fifth-largest military spender.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Jerusalem Postthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimIndia's military spending increase in 2025 was partly due to its conflict with Pakistan in May 2025.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Jerusalem Postthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimMilitary spending in Europe rose by 14 percent in 2025 to $864 billion.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimThe increase in European military spending in 2025 was driven by the ongoing war in Ukraine and decreased US engagement with Europe.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimSpain's military spending jumped by 50 percent to $40.2 billion in 2025, pushing it above 2 percent of GDP for the first time since 1994.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimMilitary spending in Asia and Oceania rose by 8.1 percent in 2025 to $681 billion, the largest annual increase since 2009.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from RFI — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimJapan's military spending rose by 9.7 percent to $62.2 billion in 2025, equivalent to 1.4 percent of GDP, its highest share since 1958.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimTaiwan's military spending increased by 14 percent to $18.2 billion in 2025, the largest annual increase since at least 1988.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Dawnthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimMilitary spending in the Middle East rose by 0.1 percent in 2025 to $218 billion.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimIsrael's military spending fell by 4.9 percent to $48.3 billion in 2025, reflecting reduced intensity in the Gaza war after a January 2025 ceasefire.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimIsrael's military spending in 2025 was 97 percent higher than in 2022.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimIran's military spending fell by 5.6 percent to $7.4 billion in 2025, due to high annual inflation of 42 percent.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimSaudi Arabia's military spending rose by 1.4 percent to $83.2 billion in 2025, making it the top military spender in the Middle East.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Jerusalem Postthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimTurkey's military spending increased by 7.2 percent to $30 billion in 2025, driven by military operations in Iraq, Syria, and Somalia.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Jerusalem Postthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimThe 29 European NATO members spent a combined $559 billion on their militaries in 2025, with 22 nations allocating at least 2 percent of GDP to defence.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from RFI — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimSIPRI researcher Jade Guiberteau Ricard said that in 2025, military spending by European NATO members rose faster than at any time since 1953.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from ABC Australiathe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimThe combined military expenditure of NATO members reached $1,581 billion in 2025, accounting for 55 percent of world military spending.
ClaimUkraine showed the largest percentage increase in per capita military spending, rising 3,387 percent from $63 per capita in 2006 to $2,197 in 2025.
ClaimA third ($771 billion) of Pentagon contracts between 2020 and 2024 went to just five companies: Lockheed Martin, RTX, Boeing, General Dynamics and Northrop Grumman.
ClaimThe US Department of Defense awarded OpenAI a $200 million contract to implement generative AI into the US military, alongside $200 million contracts for xAI and Anthropic.
ClaimSIPRI researcher Lorenzo Scarazzato said that in 2025, military expenditure as a share of government spending reached the highest level ever recorded in both Russia and Ukraine.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Dawnthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimRussia's military spending is likely to keep growing in 2026 if the war continues, with revenues from Russia's oil sales increasing and a major European Union loan expected by Ukraine.
ClaimSIPRI researcher Xiao Liang said that a new arms race reduces trust and increases the risk of miscalculation.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from ABC Australiathe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimLockheed Martin CEO Jim Taiclet said 2025 marked a year of unprecedented demand for the company, with a record $194 billion backlog and 6 percent year-over-year sales growth.
ClaimThe French Senate unveiled an updated military planning law in April 2026, adding €36 billion to defence spending between 2024 and 2030, taking annual spending to €76.3 billion by 2030, or 2.5 percent of GDP.
ClaimGuyana's military expenditure increased by 16 percent to $248 million in 2025, fueled by escalating tensions with Venezuela over the Essequibo region.
ClaimIran's allocations to the Iran Aircraft Manufacturing Industrial Company (HESA) increased by 50 percent, and allocations to the Aerospace Industries Organization (AIO) grew by 44 percent in 2025.
ClaimIran's drone and missile programs are often funded using oil revenues and are not covered by its official military budget.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Jerusalem Postthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimSIPRI researcher Zubaida Karim said that official figures almost certainly understate the true level of Iran's spending.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Jerusalem Postthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimSIPRI researcher Xiao Liang said that global military spending rose again in 2025 as states responded to another year of wars, uncertainty and geopolitical upheaval with large-scale armament drives.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from Jerusalem Postthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimSIPRI researcher Lorenzo Scarazzato said that everything points to a world that feels less secure and is spending on its military to compensate for the global landscape.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from France 24 — Englishthe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimSIPRI researcher Diego Lopes da Silva said that US allies in Asia and Oceania such as Australia, Japan and the Philippines are spending more on their militaries due to growing uncertainty over US support.
ConfidenceHigh
StatusMulti-source quoted from ABC Australiathe outlets behind this status were not recorded for this claim
ClaimSIPRI researcher Nan Tian said that the decline in US military expenditure in 2025 is likely to be short-lived.
ClaimSIPRI researcher Xiao Liang said that China's military modernization and tensions with its neighbors have long driven higher spending in the region, especially in Japan, Taiwan and the Philippines.
ClaimSIPRI researcher Xiao Liang said that the widespread increases in military spending, especially among middle-power countries, do not mean the world will be safer.
ClaimSIPRI researcher Xiao Liang said that the rise in military spending will affect other areas of public spending, potentially cutting social services or development aid.
ClaimSIPRI researcher Xiao Liang said that the main driver of Europe's spending increase is the ongoing war in Ukraine and decreased US engagement with Europe.
ClaimSIPRI researcher Xiao Liang said that the major player in Asia was China, which has been increasing spending every year for the past three decades.
ClaimSIPRI researcher Xiao Liang said that the war between India and Pakistan in 2025 was a big factor in India's spending increase, with heavy investment in aerospace and drones.
ClaimSIPRI researcher Xiao Liang said that Germany's military capability is not rising as fast as the spending figure suggests, but in the long term Germany is becoming more powerful and more independent militarily.
ClaimSIPRI researcher Xiao Liang said that the US continued to invest heavily in nuclear and conventional weapons to maintain military dominance and deter China in the Indo-Pacific.
ClaimSIPRI researcher Xiao Liang said that the rise in military spending is not only about wars and weapons, but will have deep effects across societies.
8 outlets · 8 articles consulted: ABC Australia, Al Jazeera, Dawn, Deutsche Welle, France 24 — English, Jerusalem Post, RFI — English, South China Morning Post104 claims extractedVersion 1Written 2026-08-13