Spain reaches final, England and Argentina battle for the other spot

Spain secured its place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final with a 2-0 victory over France in the first semifinal, played on Tuesday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The win sends Spain to the championship match for the first time since 2010, according to Al Jazeera.

Spain’s defense proved decisive once again, recording its sixth clean sheet of the tournament by keeping France off the scoreboard. France, despite the loss, will still play in the third-place playoff on Saturday, July 18, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, facing the loser of the England-Argentina semifinal.

The second semifinal pits England against Argentina on Wednesday, July 15, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. The winner will meet Spain in the final on Sunday, July 19, at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.

Semifinal preview: France vs Spain and England vs Argentina

The semifinals feature contrasting styles. France, which defeated Morocco 2-0 in the quarterfinals, has scored 16 goals, the highest attacking output of any team in the tournament, with Kylian Mbappe netting eight. Spain, which beat Belgium 2-1, has conceded just seven shots on target across six games, anchored by Aymeric Laporte, Unai Simon, and Rodri.

England, which advanced past Norway 2-1, will face Argentina, which needed extra time to beat Switzerland 3-1. According to the Opta supercomputer, England have a slight edge, advancing in 51.9 percent of projected simulations. England captain Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham have each scored six goals, marking the first time in World Cup history that two players from the same team have reached that total in a single tournament, as reported by Al Jazeera.

AI predictions favor France, but Argentina and Spain also draw support

Al Jazeera’s AI lab asked nine leading language models to predict the tournament’s final podium based on team strength, squad quality, coaching, historical performance, and current form. France emerged as the favorite to lift the trophy, receiving five of nine champion votes (Gemini, Grock, DeepSeek, Le Chat, and Qwen), while defending champions Argentina received the remaining four (ChatGPT, Claude, Copilot, and Meta AI).

Predictions for the runner-up were divided: France and Argentina each received three votes, followed by England with two and Spain with one. Spain was the clear favorite to finish third, receiving six of nine third-place predictions.

The AI consensus reflects broad agreement around the four remaining contenders, though the models differ in how they weigh recent performances, squad depth, and tournament momentum.

Off-pitch stories: Norway’s welcome, Haaland’s raccoon, and FIFA expansion talk

Away from the matches, Norway’s players received a heroes’ welcome in Oslo after their tournament run, according to Al Jazeera. Erling Haaland’s unusual raccoon souvenir went viral, though details of the incident were not provided.

FIFA President Gianni Infantino commented on a proposal to expand the 2030 World Cup to 64 teams, saying it would be considered, as reported by Al Jazeera.

Perspectives

  • AI prediction consensus: Nine leading AI models were polled by Al Jazeera, with France receiving five champion votes and Argentina four. The models also favored Spain for third place. This represents a data-driven view of the tournament’s likely outcome.
  • Opta supercomputer: The Opta model gives England a 51.9 percent chance of advancing past Argentina, suggesting a near-even contest but a slight edge for England.