Lead

The Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) has announced that it is taking back control of the region's government, effectively challenging the authority of Ethiopia's federal government and raising fears of a possible resumption of conflict. The announcement, made via a Facebook post on Sunday, comes amid escalating tensions between the regional capital Mekele and the federal government in Addis Ababa.

Coverage Comparison

The TPLF's decision to reinstate the regional parliament that existed before the 2020 war has been reported by multiple outlets, with consistent details. Al Jazeera and AllAfrica both noted that the federal government considers the reinstated parliament illegitimate. The TPLF's central committee said it took the decision because the federal government is violating the Pretoria Agreement, which ended the two-year war in November 2022.

Reports vary on the reasons cited by the TPLF for the alleged violations. Al Jazeera and other sources quoted the party's statement accusing the federal government of provoking armed conflict within Tigray, withholding funds to pay regional civil servants, and extending the tenure of the interim administration's president without consulting the party.

While the core facts are consistent across sources, there is a slight divergence in emphasis. Al Jazeera's reporting focused on the potential for a resumption of the "deadly conflict" and included comments from Getachew Reda, the party's former spokesman and an adviser to Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. AllAfrica's coverage highlighted the humanitarian dimension, noting that up to 80% of the population in Tigray needs emergency assistance.

Key Claims

  • The TPLF announced it is reinstating the Tigray Government Assembly, which was suspended in the name of peace. The parliament was elected by some 2.8 million people in 2020, an election that was not recognized by the federal government and was one of the triggers for the war.
  • The TPLF accused the federal government of violating the Pretoria Agreement, which was mediated by the African Union and signed on November 2, 2022. The agreement provided for the establishment of an interim administration for Tigray through dialogue between the two parties, replacing the region's elected bodies until new elections could be organized.
  • Getachew Reda, who served as president of Tigray's interim administration before falling out with the TPLF and being replaced last year, wrote on X that the TPLF's statement constituted "a clear repudiation" of the post-war structure created by the Pretoria Agreement. He called on the international community to act to stave off the threat of a catastrophic conflict.
  • The 2020-2022 civil war fought between TPLF-led forces and Ethiopia's national army killed hundreds of thousands of people through direct violence, the collapse of healthcare, and famine, according to researchers. Some reports put the death toll at at least 600,000, a figure that has been contested.
  • The US has cut funding to humanitarian aid in Ethiopia, which was once the country's largest source of humanitarian aid. This has exacerbated the humanitarian crisis in Tigray, where up to 80% of the population needs emergency support, and funding shortfalls are placing a strain on the health system.

Perspectives

The TPLF's view: The party maintains that the federal government has failed to honor the Pretoria Agreement, and that reinstating the regional parliament is a necessary step to protect Tigray's interests. A senior TPLF official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said the decision was taken because "the federal government is violating the Pretoria Agreement, we were not consulted."

The federal government's view: The federal government has not yet issued an official response to the TPLF's announcement, but it has previously considered the reinstated parliament illegitimate, as reported.

International observers' view: Analysts and regional experts have expressed concern that the move could unravel the fragile peace established by the Pretoria Agreement. Getachew Reda's call for international action underscores these worries, as does the fact that the region is still reeling from the effects of the war and a severe humanitarian crisis.

Historical Context

The conflict stems from a breakdown in relations between the TPLF, a rebel-movement-turned-political-party that dominated Ethiopian politics for nearly three decades, and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, whose appointment in 2018 ended the TPLF's dominance. The war, which pitted federal forces, supported by the Eritrean army, against TPLF rebels, resulted in widespread displacement and a catastrophic humanitarian situation. Eritrea signed a separate peace deal with Ethiopia in 2018, but its role in the Tigray conflict remains a contentious issue.