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Chartist Talk: Sudeep Shah explains why August high is crucial for Nifty's uptrend; bullish on 1 midcap, 1 smallcap for next week
Technical analysts say the Nifty remains range-bound and needs a decisive move above its recent August high of 24,774 to regain upward momentum, with the 24,350–24,400 zone as key near-term resistance. Bank Nifty continues a prolonged consolidation, while several chartists have outlined buy ideas in midcap and smallcap stocks for the coming week. On August 21 the benchmarks closed with a mild positive bias after range-bound trade.
Equity benchmarks finished the session of August 21 essentially flat with a mild positive bias after a day of range-bound trading. According to Moneycontrol, the Nifty 50 rose 20 points, or 0.08 percent, to close at 24,252, while the Bank Nifty advanced 266 points, or 0.46 percent, to 57,762. Market breadth on the NSE was slightly tilted toward buyers, with 1,580 advances against 1,478 declines.
Moneycontrol reported that Thursday’s bullish gap remained unfilled, a development technicians viewed as constructive. At the same time the index failed to surpass the cluster of 10- and 20-day exponential moving averages near 24,300. Several Moneycontrol technical notes stated that a sustained reclaim of this band is required before the Nifty can attempt a further advance toward 24,350–24,500. Immediate support was identified in the 24,200–24,150 zone, followed by the psychologically important 24,000 level. Rising oil prices were cited by the same reports as a factor that has capped upside and warranted caution.
The Economic Times noted that the Nifty had closed the preceding week on a weaker note and remained confined inside a broad 23,800–24,700 band. Multiple analysts quoted across both outlets agreed that clearance of the 24,350–24,400 resistance zone is necessary before the index can demonstrate genuine strength.
Sudeep Shah on the August High and Range-Bound Conditions
In an interview carried by Moneycontrol, Sudeep Shah, Head of Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, stated that the Nifty continues to lack strong directional momentum and is likely to stay range-bound unless it decisively surpasses its recent August high of 24,774. Shah identified the 24,350–24,400 band as the crucial resistance zone for the coming week; a sustained move above it, he said, could revive bullish momentum. On the downside he flagged the 24,050–24,000 area as important support.
Shah observed that the index had ended lower for the second consecutive week and that a small-bodied candle on the weekly chart reflected indecision. The daily Average Directional Index stood at 12.80, underscoring subdued trend strength. He also highlighted that the Nifty Smallcap 100 has been a clear outperformer, recently breaking out to a fresh all-time high, with support near the 20-day EMA at 19,670–19,650 and upside targets at 20,200 and 20,500. The Nifty Midcap 100, by contrast, remains in consolidation, holding support at 63,200–63,000 and facing resistance at 64,200–64,400.
Bank Nifty Consolidation and Key Levels
Moneycontrol reported that the Bank Nifty has been locked in a prolonged consolidation phase lasting nearly 48 trading sessions. Shah noted that the index needs to break above downward-sloping trend-line resistance in the 58,000–58,200 zone. Its daily ADX reading of 8.06 was described as the lowest on record, reinforcing the absence of a clear trend.
Other Moneycontrol technical updates projected that an extension of the recent rally could take Bank Nifty toward 58,000 and then 58,250, with immediate support at 57,500–57,400 and secondary support near 57,200. Rajesh Palviya of Axis Securities, quoted by Moneycontrol, said a sustained move above 58,000 could open the path to 58,600–59,000, while a break below 57,000 might expose 56,600–56,000. Hitesh Rathi and Jatin Gedia, also cited by Moneycontrol, similarly pointed to the 58,000–58,200 resistance cluster and recommended selective long positions on dips while the broader range holds.
The Economic Times carried complementary views. Mehul Kothari of Anand Rathi advocated a buy-on-dips stance for Bank Nifty as long as it sustains above 57,000, with a breakout above 58,200 expected to trigger fresh upside. Sacchitanand Uttekar outlined a Bank Nifty bull-call-spread structure (long 57,600 call, short 58,500 call) with defined risk parameters.
Analyst Strategies for Nifty Futures
Across Moneycontrol and The Economic Times, several chartists offered concrete futures strategies. Rajesh Palviya recommended buying Nifty futures around 24,200 with a stop-loss at 24,100 and targets of 24,350–24,400; he added that a decisive break above the 20-day SMA near 24,370 could extend the move toward 24,500 and 24,800. Hitesh Rathi described the overall outlook as cautious, citing overhead hurdles at 24,300–24,350 and 24,400–24,450, and suggested buying futures on dips near 24,100 with a stop at 24,000. Jatin Gedia pointed to maximum put open interest at 24,000 and maximum call open interest at 24,300; he advised buying August futures near 24,286 with a stop at 24,150 and a target of 24,415.
The Economic Times reported that Mehul Kothari favoured buying Nifty futures at current levels with a strict stop-loss at 24,000 and successive targets of 24,600–24,750 and then 25,000, while also suggesting a protective put hedge. Pabitro Mukherjee expected the index to continue oscillating inside 23,800–24,700 and recommended accumulating September futures on dips toward 24,200 for targets of 24,700 and 24,850. Sacchitanand Uttekar described the Nifty as locked between the 50-week EMA at 24,360 (resistance) and the 50-day EMA at 24,190 (support).
Midcap and Smallcap Ideas
Sudeep Shah told Moneycontrol he is constructive on two stocks for the week ahead. Aeroflex Industries, he said, has completed a symmetrical-triangle breakout; he recommended buying in the 500–505 zone with a stop-loss at 485 and a target of 540. Alkyl Amines Chemicals has broken a horizontal trend-line resistance on rising volumes; Shah suggested accumulation between 2,040 and 2,060, stop-loss 1,975, target 2,200.
Additional single-stock recommendations appeared in both outlets. The Economic Times carried Mehul Kothari’s buy-on-dips call on Vishal Mega Mart near 103–105 (target 118, stop 97) and his recommendation to buy P N Gadgil Jewellers at 610–615 (target 690, stop 573). Sacchitanand Uttekar favoured CDSL at 1,388 (target 1,590, stop 1,340) and L&T Finance at 317 (target 356, stop 306). Pabitro Mukherjee suggested Nippon Life India Asset Management at 1,251 (target 1,370, stop 1,190).
Moneycontrol published further ideas from Hitesh Rathi (KFin Technologies, DLF, Affle 3i), Rajesh Palviya (Action Construction Equipment, IIFL Finance, Kaynes Technology) and Jatin Gedia (DCB Bank, ICICI Bank, Swiggy), each accompanied by specific entry zones, targets and stop-loss levels based on chart patterns and open-interest data.
Options Positioning and Volatility
Moneycontrol’s options data for August 21 showed maximum Nifty call open interest concentrated at the 24,300 strike, followed by 24,500 and 24,400. Maximum put open interest stood at 24,000, then 24,200. The Nifty put-call ratio eased slightly to 1.11 from 1.12. India VIX rebounded 4.01 percent to 11.195. For Bank Nifty, peak call open interest was located at 58,000, while peak put open interest sat at 57,000. Long build-ups were recorded in 41 stocks, long unwinding in 58, short build-ups in 74 and short-covering in 41. SAIL remained in the F&O ban list; Bandhan Bank and Manappuram Finance were removed.
Taken together, the technical commentary from Moneycontrol and The Economic Times portrays an index still searching for directional conviction. A decisive break above the August high of 24,774 remains the clearest catalyst cited for a renewed uptrend, while failure to reclaim the 24,300–24,400 resistance band keeps the broader 23,800–24,700 range intact for now.
How each outlet told it
The Economic Times
Framing: The headline emphasizes Nifty's need to break above the 24,350-24,400 resistance zone for a rally, focusing on technical trading levels. — Analytical and advisory, with a focus on actionable trading strategies. Example: 'Analysts said the index needs to clear the 24,350–24,400 zone to show signs of real strength.'
Facts Included:
Nifty closed last week on a weaker note, stuck in a broad 23,800–24,700 range.
Analysts said the index needs to clear the 24,350–24,400 zone to show real strength.
Mehul Kothari recommends buying Nifty futures with stop loss at 24,000 and target of 24,600–24,750, then 25,000.
Mehul Kothari recommends a buy-on-dips approach for Bank Nifty as long as it sustains above 57,000, with breakout above 58,200.
Vishal Mega Mart buy on dips near Rs 103–105, target Rs 118, stop loss Rs 97.
P N Gadgil Jewellers buy at Rs 610–615, target Rs 690, stop loss Rs 573.
SACCHITANAND UTTEKAR states Nifty remains locked between 50 WEMA at 24,360 (resistance) and 50 DEMA at 24,190 (support).
SACCHITANAND UTTEKAR recommends Bank Nifty Bull Call Spread: Buy 57,600 CE @ Rs294, Sell 58,500 CE @ Rs29, net premium Rs 265, breakeven 57,865, stop loss Rs150, target Rs550, max profit Rs19,050, max loss Rs7,950.
CDSL buy at Rs 1,388, target Rs 1,590, stop loss Rs 1,340.
L&T Finance buy at Rs 317, target Rs 356, stop loss Rs 306.
PABITRO MUKHERJEE expects Nifty to trade in 23,800–24,700 range, recommends buying Nifty September futures at current levels and on dips toward 24,200, targeting 24,700 and 24,850.
Nippon Life India Asset Management buy at CMP Rs 1,251, target Rs 1,370, stop loss Rs 1,190.
Another unnamed stock (likely error) buy at CMP Rs 382, target Rs 418, stop loss Rs 365.
The article includes a mention of FCNR (B) scheme garnering USD 65 bn but why rupee isn't gaining, as a related story link.
Framing: The headline emphasizes that August high is crucial for Nifty's uptrend, and highlights bullish views on one midcap and one smallcap stock. — Analytical and cautious, with emphasis on consolidation and indecision. Example: 'Nifty continues to exhibit a lack of strong directional momentum and is likely to remain range-bound.'
Facts Included:
Sudeep Shah, Head of Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, said Nifty needs to decisively surpass its recent August high of 24,774 to gain upward momentum.
The 24,350–24,400 range is a crucial resistance zone for the coming week.
The 24,050–24,000 range is an important support area.
Nifty ended lower for the second consecutive week.
The formation of a small-bodied candle on the weekly chart reflects indecision.
Daily ADX is at 12.80, indicating subdued trend strength.
Nifty Smallcap 100 has emerged as a clear outperformer, recently breaking out to a fresh all-time high.
Nifty Smallcap 100 support at 19,670-19,650 (20-day EMA), targets at 20,200 and 20,500.
Nifty Midcap 100 is consolidating, with support at 63,200-63,000 and resistance at 64,200-64,400.
Bank Nifty has been locked in a prolonged consolidation for nearly 48 trading sessions.
Bank Nifty needs to break above downward-sloping trendline resistance in 58,000-58,200 zone.
Daily ADX for Bank Nifty is at 8.06, its lowest reading on record.
Aeroflex Industries: symmetrical triangle breakout, buy in zone Rs 500-505, stop-loss Rs 485, target Rs 540.
Alkyl Amines Chemicals: horizontal trendline breakout, buy in zone Rs 2,040-2,060, stop-loss Rs 1,975, target Rs 2,200.
Vedanta has pulled back 3.6 percent over last three sessions, range-bound between Rs 261–286.
CDSL consolidated in Rs 1,362–1,305 range since July 23 and has now broken out on strong volumes.
Welspun Corp has rallied 163 percent since April 7, with RSI at 90.21 and ADX at 57.09, appearing overstretched.
Framing: The headline highlights trading strategies for specific stocks, focusing on how to trade ICICI Bank, Action Construction Equipment, etc., on a specific date. — Advisory and action-oriented, presenting specific buy/sell strategies. Example: 'The bullish undertone is also evident on the 1% × 3 Point & Figure chart.'
Facts Included:
Equity benchmarks closed flat with positive bias on August 21, with market breadth slightly in favour of bulls (1,580 advances vs 1,478 declines).
Framing: The headline frames the trading plan as a question: whether Nifty 50 will reclaim 20-day EMA and Bank Nifty hit 58,000, focusing on key technical levels. — Analytical and forward-looking, with a focus on potential scenarios and strategies. Example: 'The momentum indicators witnessed further improvement in the last session.'
Facts Included:
Nifty 50 is expected to march towards 24,300 (20-day EMA) again, with 24,380 (200-day EMA) and 24,500 as levels to watch if it reclaims.
24,200-24,150 is immediate support, followed by 24,000 as key support.
Bank Nifty is expected to target 58,000, followed by 58,250, if it extends rally for a third consecutive session.
57,500–57,400 is immediate support, followed by 57,200.
On August 21, Nifty 50 rose 20 points (0.08%) to 24,252, while Bank Nifty jumped 266 points (0.46%) to 57,762.
Market breadth was slightly in favour of bulls: 1,580 shares advanced vs 1,478 declined.
Rajesh Palviya: Nifty ended the week with 114 points losses, formed bearish candle with long lower leg, closed above 50-day SMA after breaking 7-day losing streak.
Palviya: Decisive break above 20-day SMA (24,370) could lead to 24,500 and 24,800; support at 24,000 and 23,800.
Palviya: Weekly RSI is falling but above 50, close above 200-day EMA needed to confirm trend reversal.
Hitesh Rathi: Overall outlook cautious, overhead hurdles at 24,300–24,350 and 24,400–24,450, support at 24,040 and 24,000.
Rathi: Strategy: Buy Nifty Futures on dips around 24,100, stop-loss 24,000, book profits near 24,250-24,200.
Jatin Gedia: Nifty formed small-bodied bearish candle with long lower shadow, support at 24,050-24,000, includes 61.8% retracement (24,052) and gap area.
Gedia: Expects Nifty to trend higher towards 24,375 (20-DMA) and 24,500 (Call OI concentration), support at 24,200-24,100.
Gedia: Maximum Put OI at 24,000, Call OI at 24,300, PCR improved from 0.7 to 1.08.
Gedia: Strategy: Buy Nifty August Futures at CMP 24,286, stop-loss 24,150, target 24,415.
Palviya (Bank Nifty): Weekly gain of 266 points, small bullish candle with long lower shadow, consolidation between 58,300 and 56,000 for fifth consecutive session.
Palviya: Sustained move above 58,000 could lead to 58,600–59,000; break below 57,000 may lead to 56,600–56,000.
Palviya: Strategy: Buy Bank Nifty Futures around 57,600, stop-loss 57,450, target 58,000-58,300.
Rathi (Bank Nifty): Confined range, positive crossover on RSI, breakout above downward sloping trendline, key resistance 58,000-58,200, support 57,400-57,000.
Rathi: Strategy: Buy Bank Nifty Futures on dips around 57,350, stop-loss 57,000, book profits near 57,800.
Gedia (Bank Nifty): Decisively broke out of channel upside, expects to trend towards 58,000 (max Call OI) and 58,200 (previous swing high), support at 57,500-57,400.
Gedia: PCR improved from 0.7 to 0.87, expects positive bias towards 58,000-58,200.
Framing: The headline sets up a trading plan for August 24, asking whether Nifty 50 will reclaim its 20-day EMA and Bank Nifty hit 58,000, focusing on key levels. — Data-driven and cautionary, presenting a comprehensive trading setup. Example: 'Rising oil prices have also kept the market’s upside capped and signal caution.'
Facts Included:
Nifty 50 failed to see strong follow-up buying on August 21, closing with moderate gains after range-bound trading.
Thursday’s bullish gap remained unfilled, a positive indication.
The index failed to surpass 10- and 20-day EMAs at 24,300, which it needs to reclaim for further upmove towards 24,350–24,500.
Immediate support at 23,150 (likely typo for 24,150) and 24,000 as key support.
Rising oil prices have kept the market’s upside capped and signal caution.
Each row is one claim, attributed to the outlet whose wording states it most clearly. Confidence rates how directly the source text states the claim — explicit and unhedged rates high; hedged, pieced-together, or internally inconsistent statements rate lower. It does not measure whether the claim is true. Status counts the distinct outlets we found asserting it — so a single-source claim can still show high confidence, and a multi-source claim can show medium. Every one of those outlets is named beside the status, so you can check the count against the list. For claims extracted before we began storing that list, the row says so: it names the outlet the claim is quoted from and states that we have not recorded which outlets backed it. Outlets wrote at different times, so a figure that evolves — a casualty count, for example — can legitimately differ between rows; check the "as of" time next to each claim's source.
Claim
Confidence
Status
ClaimNifty closed last week on a weaker note, stuck in a broad 23,800–24,700 range.
ClaimMehul Kothari recommends a bullish buy-on-dips approach for Bank Nifty as long as it sustains above 57,000, with a breakout above 58,200 triggering fresh upside momentum.
ClaimSACCHITANAND UTTEKAR states Nifty remains locked between the 50 WEMA at 24,360 acting as resistance and the 50 DEMA at 24,190 serving as pivotal support.
ClaimSACCHITANAND UTTEKAR recommends a Bank Nifty Bull Call Spread: Buy 57,600 CE at Rs 294, Sell 58,500 CE at Rs 29, net premium Rs 265, breakeven 57,865, stop loss Rs 150, target Rs 550, maximum profit Rs 19,050, maximum loss Rs 7,950.
ClaimPABITRO MUKHERJEE expects Nifty to trade in the 23,800–24,700 range and recommends buying Nifty September futures at current levels and on dips towards 24,200, targeting 24,700 and 24,850.
ClaimSudeep Shah, Head of Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, said Nifty needs to decisively surpass its recent August high of 24,774 to gain upward momentum.
ClaimEquity benchmarks closed flat with a positive bias on August 21, with market breadth slightly in favour of bulls (1,580 advances vs 1,478 declines).
ClaimRajesh Palviya recommends buying Action Construction Equipment with a breakout from rounded bottom at Rs 1,155, targets of Rs 1,260 and Rs 1,330, and stop-loss at Rs 1,145.
ClaimRajesh Palviya states Nifty ended the week with 114 points losses, formed a bearish candle with long lower leg, and closed above the 50-day SMA after breaking a 7-day losing streak.
ClaimJatin Gedia says Nifty formed a small-bodied bearish candle with long lower shadow, with support at 24,050-24,000, including the 61.8% retracement (24,052) and gap area.
ClaimRajesh Palviya says Bank Nifty achieved a weekly gain of 266 points and formed a small bullish candle with long lower shadow, consolidating between 58,300 and 56,000 for the fifth consecutive session.
ClaimHitesh Rathi says Bank Nifty is in a confined range, with positive RSI crossover, breakout above downward sloping trendline, key resistance at 58,000-58,200, and support at 57,400-57,000.
ClaimJatin Gedia says Bank Nifty decisively broke out of the channel upside, expects to trend towards 58,000 (max Call OI) and 58,200 (previous swing high), with support at 57,500-57,400.