Carlos Prates has a clear vision for how a UFC welterweight title fight against Islam Makhachev would unfold: he expects to get battered early, then find a finish.
Speaking to former UFC fighter Gilbert Burns on his YouTube channel, Prates said he anticipates being overwhelmed in the opening rounds before turning the tide.
"I think I'm going to start by getting smashed, and the first time I manage to get back to my feet and start hurting him, I'm going to knock him out somewhere around the fourth or fifth round," Prates said, per MMA Fighting.
Prates, who attended Makhachev's first title defense against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 in Philadelphia, compared his projected path to Anderson Silva's comeback victory over Chael Sonnen at UFC 148 in July 2012. In that fight, Sonnen dominated the first round and secured mount, but Silva knocked him out in the second.
"You look at his fight with Chael Sonnen, Chael Sonnen got the mount in the first round. In the second, (Silva) went out there and knocked the guy out. And that's what I think is going to happen," Prates said.
Makhachev defeated Garry via finish at UFC 330, extending his UFC-record win streak to 17 fights. While Garry was able to stop takedowns and get back to his feet at times, Prates said watching that performance live gave him added confidence.
"If he was able to get Makhachev off his back, I can do it too. I became even more confident," Prates said. "Based on the things I saw and the amount of time we have to train, I was like, '(expletive), I think we can do this.'"
Prates has won two straight fights since a April 2025 loss to Garry, both by knockout over former UFC welterweight champions Leon Edwards and Jack Della Maddalena. He also holds a finish over Geoff Neal.
Makhachev has publicly stated he prefers to face Prates next, according to com. The champion is planning to return before Ramadan, which would put his next defense no later than January 2027.