Asian Markets Slide as US Airstrikes on Iran Lift Oil and Bond Yields

Asian stocks slumped at the start of trading on Wednesday as a bond market-induced panic spilled over into the region, following renewed US airstrikes on Iran that pushed oil prices higher. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 0.8 per cent in early trading, with South Korea's KOSPI dropping 3 per cent on the open and Japan's Nikkei 225 sinking 2.2 per cent. S&P 500 e-mini futures were flat.

Brent crude futures extended gains into a second day, rising 0.7 per cent to $95.34 a barrel after the US launched a barrage of airstrikes on Iran on Tuesday, which earlier pushed oil prices to a five-week high. Westpac analysts wrote: "The threat of further disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz has brought about renewed anxiety over inflation, driving a selloff in stocks across most major markets and a rout in global bond markets."

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond was up 0.4 basis point at 4.798 per cent, while the US dollar index, which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, held near the highest levels of the past two weeks at 99.67. Overnight on Wall Street, the S&P 500 slipped 0.7 per cent and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1 per cent as a surge in government bond yields weighed on equities. The declines came as data from the Institute for Supply Management released on Tuesday showed US manufacturing activity moderated in August amid a slowdown in new orders, but remained in expansionary territory.

Traders believe that the Federal Reserve is likely to lift interest rates at its next meeting in two weeks, though a hike is not certain. Fed funds futures are pricing an implied 67 per cent probability of a 25-basis-point increase to benchmark borrowing costs at the US central bank's two-day meeting ending on September 16, compared to a 39.6 per cent chance a week ago, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

Regional Impact and Currency Moves

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond hit an intraday high of 4.8122 per cent, its highest level in almost three years, while the yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond rose 2 basis points to 3.015 per cent, extending its climb after reaching a three-decade high earlier this week. DBS analysts wrote: "September kicked off on a shaky note as developed market government bonds continued to sell off." They added: "Brace for a volatile month ahead as high yields cause angst across the asset classes. If the bond rout does not get stemmed, policymakers would probably have to resort to more aggressive measures to cap yields."

The kiwi dollar was down 1 per cent at $0.5834 after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand hiked interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.75 per cent, as expected by markets, though dovish language in the central bank's statement weighed on the currency. Capital Economics analysts wrote: "The RBNZ hiked rates as expected, but tempered expectations for further tightening. The messaging sounded a bit less hawkish than before."

Commodities and Crypto

Gold was flat at $4,328.59 an ounce, while bitcoin slipped 0.2 per cent to $77,246.57 and ether was 0.3 per cent lower at $2,412.60.