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AI influence on labor market to grow over years — Central Bank

Two Russian officials offered differing perspectives on artificial intelligence's effect on employment, with Central Bank chief Elvira Nabiullina saying AI has yet to play a decisive role in the labor market, while Deputy Prime Minister Tatyana Golikova projected significant future impact, citing estimates that AI will affect up to 60% of employment in developed economies.

By Tertius News AI Desk 1 outlet · 2 articles Version 1 Coverage Jun 5–19, 2026 Published Aug 14

Russian Officials Offer Contrasting Views on AI's Impact on Labor Market

Two senior Russian officials presented differing assessments of artificial intelligence's influence on employment, according to reports from the state news agency TASS.

At a press conference following a Central Bank board meeting, Elvira Nabiullina, the governor of the Bank of Russia, said that AI is not yet playing a decisive role in the labor market. "As regards artificial intelligence, we do not see thus far the macroeconomic effect from the standpoint of the labor market; it is not playing the determining role to date," she said, as quoted by TASS. Nabiullina acknowledged that AI improves labor productivity for individual companies that use it effectively, but predicted that "the effect of this factor will grow over time."

Speaking separately at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF), Deputy Prime Minister Tatyana Golikova offered a more forward-looking perspective. According to TASS, Golikova stated that "artificial intelligence will affect about 40% of global employment, and up to 60% in developed economies." She added that the magnitude of the effect would depend on adaptation institutions, and noted that AI "does not always lead to a reduction in employment." Golikova also reported that more than 90% of employers in sectors including education, healthcare, finance, transport, and telecommunications identified artificial intelligence as a key trend.

Both officials spoke in the context of ongoing discussions about technological change and its economic implications. Nabiullina also addressed the labor market more broadly, noting "certain cooldown signs" in the current situation, and emphasized that labor market conditions are an important factor, though not the only one, in the Central Bank's decisions on the key interest rate.

The statements reflect a nuanced official view: while AI's transformative potential is acknowledged, policymakers suggest its macroeconomic effects are still emerging. Nabiullina's comments indicate that, for now, AI's impact on employment remains limited at the aggregate level, even as individual firms reap productivity gains. Golikova's projections, by contrast, point to substantial disruption ahead, particularly in advanced economies.

Neither official provided specific timelines for the projected changes, and TASS did not report any detailed methodology behind the figures cited by Golikova. The remarks come as governments worldwide grapple with the implications of rapid advancements in artificial intelligence for workers and industries.

This article was compiled from reports by TASS. The two sets of comments were delivered on different occasions and reflect the distinct portfolios of the officials: Nabiullina speaking on monetary policy and current economic conditions, and Golikova addressing broader labor and social policy issues at an economic forum.

How this outlet told it

TASS — English as of Jun 19, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC

Framing: Neutral — Informative

Facts Included:

Central Bank chief Elvira Nabiullina stated AI is not yet playing a decisive role in the labor market
AI improves labor productivity for individual companies
Nabiullina noted cooldown signs for the situation in the labor market

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TASS — English as of Jun 5, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC

Framing: Future-focused — Informative

Facts Included:

Artificial intelligence will affect 40% of global employment
Up to 60% of employment in developed economies will be affected by AI
More than 90% of employers in certain spheres noted AI as a key trend

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What was claimed, and who backed it

Each row is one claim, attributed to the outlet whose wording states it most clearly. Confidence rates how directly the source text states the claim — explicit and unhedged rates high; hedged, pieced-together, or internally inconsistent statements rate lower. It does not measure whether the claim is true. Status counts the distinct outlets we found asserting it — so a single-source claim can still show high confidence, and a multi-source claim can show medium. Every one of those outlets is named beside the status, so you can check the count against the list. For claims extracted before we began storing that list, the row says so: it names the outlet the claim is quoted from and states that we have not recorded which outlets backed it. Outlets wrote at different times, so a figure that evolves — a casualty count, for example — can legitimately differ between rows; check the "as of" time next to each claim's source.

Claim	Confidence	Status
ClaimArtificial intelligence is not yet playing a decisive role in the labor market, but its effect will grow over years.	ConfidenceHigh	StatusSingle-source via TASS — English as of Jun 19, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC
ClaimAI improves labor productivity for individual companies.	ConfidenceHigh	StatusSingle-source via TASS — English as of Jun 19, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC
ClaimThere are certain cooldown signs for the situation in the labor market.	ConfidenceMedium	StatusSingle-source via TASS — English as of Jun 19, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC
ClaimArtificial intelligence will affect 40% of global employment in the future.	ConfidenceMedium	StatusSingle-source via TASS — English as of Jun 5, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC
ClaimUp to 60% of employment in developed economies will be affected by AI.	ConfidenceMedium	StatusSingle-source via TASS — English as of Jun 5, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC
ClaimMore than 90% of employers in certain spheres noted AI as a key trend.	ConfidenceMedium	StatusSingle-source via TASS — English as of Jun 5, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC

Transparency & Audit Trail

1 outlet · 2 articles consulted: TASS — English 6 claims extracted Version 1 Written 2026-08-14